SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
33-47 | Road
98
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
35-45 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
SUNS
100%
SPURS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
26.0%
SA By 8-14 points
16.4%
PHX By 1-7 points
24.6%
PHX By 8-14 points
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
107.33
SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix
106.63
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
PHX @ SA
100 - 101
Feb 19, 2026
PHX @ SA
94 - 121
Nov 23, 2025
SA @ PHX
102 - 111
Nov 2, 2025
SA @ PHX
118 - 130
Apr 11, 2025
SA @ PHX
98 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.1% more
San Antonio: 4.3
vs
Phoenix: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
San Antonio: 37.5%
vs
Phoenix: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
San Antonio: 47.5%
vs
Phoenix: 45.1%
Steals (L5)
+31.0% more
Phoenix: 9.6
vs
San Antonio: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
107.3
98
PHX Score
106.6
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 37.5
40.4 / 38.2
Assists
25.8 / 25.9
27.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.3
10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 47.5
46.3 / 43.3
Free Throw %
79.0 / 76.1
90.9 / 70.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 41.4
52.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.3
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 15.2
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
SA
PHX
SA
ML
57%
60-45
60%
111-73
51%
45-43
58%
61-44
ATS
58%
59-43-3
58%
107-76-1
51%
45-43
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
61-42-2
74%
134-47-3
100%
88-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…