Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Golden Gophers FDU @ MINN

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

KNIGHTSFDU

3-9  |  Road

43
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 9:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

7-5  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
KNIGHTS --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
KnightsFDU (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

38.2%

Golden Gophers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MINN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

FDU By 1-7 points

21.6%

FDU By 8-14 points

10.7%

MINN By 1-7 points

27.2%

MINN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
52
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
55
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
68
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
85
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 FDU @ MINN 43 - 60
Dec 21, 2024 FDU @ MINN 60 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +153.5% more
Minnesota: 9.5 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 3.7
Assists (L5) +39.4% more
Minnesota: 21.5 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 15.5
Blocks (L5) +20.9% more
Minnesota: 3.2 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Minnesota: 40.5% vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FDU Score 52.0 43
MINN Score 55.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 30.6 31.0 / 27.0
Assists 21.5 / 15.5 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.7 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 40.2 39.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 70.0 50.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 35.6 40.0 / 39.0
Steals 9.5 / 3.7 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.6 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
MINN Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
MINN Advantage
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0% Total +/-: -2.5
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
FDU
MINN
FDU
ML
48% 16-17
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
74% 23-8
ATS
55% 18-15
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
74% 23-8
TTL
52% 17-16
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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