CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
10-3 | Road
66
UTAH VALLEY
WOLVERINESUVU
10-3 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
LANCERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Utah Valley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)
CBU By 1-7 points
8.0%
CBU By 8-14 points
2.2%
UVU By 1-7 points
20.1%
UVU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
California Baptist
62
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Valley
74
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
California Baptist
73
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Valley
78
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
CBU @ UVU
63 - 61
Feb 19, 2026
CBU @ UVU
46 - 65
Jan 24, 2026
UVU @ CBU
71 - 78
Dec 29, 2025
CBU @ UVU
66 - 73
Jan 23, 2025
UVU @ CBU
74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+110.2% more
Utah Valley: 7.0
vs
California Baptist: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+94.3% more
Utah Valley: 9.9
vs
California Baptist: 5.1
Assists (L5)
+90.0% more
Utah Valley: 23.0
vs
California Baptist: 12.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.6% more
Utah Valley: 14.6
vs
California Baptist: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBU Score
62.0
66
UVU Score
74.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 33.3
29.0 / 25.0
Assists
23.0 / 12.1
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
7.0 / 3.3
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 42.1
54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 74.1
45.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 41.1
21.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.1
14.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.7
8.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
CBU
UVU
CBU
ML
56%
18-14
50%
17-17
72%
23-9
76%
25-8
ATS
53%
17-15
53%
18-16
74%
25-9
76%
25-8
TTL
44%
14-18
47%
16-18
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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