DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
6-7 | Road
63
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
7-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
COUGARS
100%
DRAGONS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COFC +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
DREX By 1-7 points
27.4%
DREX By 8-14 points
21.6%
COFC By 1-7 points
20.1%
COFC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
58
DREXEL
Charleston
54
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Drexel
70
DREXEL
Charleston
74
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
DREX @ COFC
63 - 72
Feb 22, 2025
COFC @ DREX
55 - 64
Feb 10, 2024
DREX @ COFC
70 - 80
Feb 2, 2023
COFC @ DREX
69 - 70
Feb 26, 2022
COFC @ DREX
79 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.4% more
Drexel: 16.1
vs
Charleston: 12.5
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Drexel: 13.8
vs
Charleston: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Drexel: 39.2%
vs
Charleston: 31.4%
Blocks (L5)
+21.6% more
Charleston: 4.6
vs
Drexel: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
58.0
63
COFC Score
54.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 39.2
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.5 / 16.1
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 49.4
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 65.9
56.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 29.0
34.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.9
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 13.8
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
DREX
COFC
DREX
ML
66%
19-10
58%
19-14
62%
18-11
81%
26-6
ATS
59%
17-12
70%
23-10
62%
18-11
81%
26-6
TTL
68%
19-9-1
48%
16-17
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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