CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
17-16 | Road
113
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
23-8 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
SPURS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
CLE By 1-7 points
21.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
10.7%
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
111
CLEVELAND
San Antonio
114
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
CLE @ SA
113 - 101
Dec 5, 2025
SA @ CLE
117 - 130
Apr 4, 2025
CLE @ SA
114 - 113
Mar 27, 2025
SA @ CLE
116 - 124
Feb 3, 2024
CLE @ SA
117 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.2% more
San Antonio: 5.2
vs
Cleveland: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
San Antonio: 47.3
vs
Cleveland: 43.3
Steals (L5)
+30.9% more
Cleveland: 8.7
vs
San Antonio: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+16.0% more
Cleveland: 14.2
vs
San Antonio: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
111.0
113
SA Score
114.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 38.0
23.0 / 31.0
Assists
27.6 / 29.3
21.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 48.2
39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 77.9
83.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 43.3
52.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.7
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 14.2
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
CLE
SA
CLE
ML
60%
111-73
60%
69-46
58%
61-44
56%
55-44
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
75-37-3
58%
61-44
56%
55-44
TTL
74%
134-47-3
59%
68-47
100%
105-0
100%
99-0
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