Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Scarlet Knights DSU @ RUTG

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

5-9  |  Road

50
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Jersey Mike’s Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

6-6  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
HORNETS --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Rutgers)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

5.5%

Scarlet Knights Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

DSU By 1-7 points

4.0%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.8%

RUTG By 1-7 points

13.7%

RUTG By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
DELAWARE STATE
78
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
58
DELAWARE STATE
82
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 DSU @ RUTG 50 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.6% more
Rutgers: 3.1 vs Delaware State: 2.5
Assists (L5) +29.9% more
Delaware State: 12.9 vs Rutgers: 9.1
Steals (L5) +22.0% more
Delaware State: 8.7 vs Rutgers: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +16.2% more
Delaware State: 13.8 vs Rutgers: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 62.0 50
RUTG Score 78.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 42.2 26.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.1 / 12.9 7.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.5 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.5 / 46.4 30.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 68.4 / 70.3 83.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 29.9 52.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.8 / 8.7 12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 13.8 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
RUTG Advantage
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
RUTG Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
DSU
RUTG
DSU
ML
53% 18-16
60% 18-12
70% 23-10
75% 18-6
ATS
68% 23-11
60% 18-12
70% 23-10
72% 18-7
TTL
53% 18-16
57% 17-13
100% 33-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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