SOUTHERN MISS
GOLDEN EAGLESUSM
7-6 | Road
62
LSU
TIGERSLSU
11-1 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
TIGERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
USM By 1-7 points
0.0%
USM By 8-14 points
0.0%
LSU By 1-7 points
0.2%
LSU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Miss
52
SOUTHERN MISS
LSU
88
LSU
Simulated Score
Southern Miss
65
SOUTHERN MISS
LSU
78
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
USM @ LSU
62 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.3% more
LSU: 14.4
vs
Southern Miss: 10.3
Blocks (L5)
+10.3% more
LSU: 3.7
vs
Southern Miss: 3.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
LSU: 50.2%
vs
Southern Miss: 43.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
LSU: 78.9%
vs
Southern Miss: 77.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USM Score
52.0
62
LSU Score
88.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 33.1
31.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.4 / 10.3
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.4
11.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 43.6
52.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 77.0
72.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 34.1
43.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.9
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 12.0
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USM
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +3.2
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
USM
LSU
USM
ML
62%
20-12
53%
18-16
62%
20-12
73%
24-9
ATS
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
74%
25-9
TTL
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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