MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
20-12 | Road
136
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
15-16 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
BULLS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
MIN By 1-7 points
12.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
4.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
109
MINNESOTA
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u243.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u243.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
CHI @ MIN
120 - 115
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ CHI
136 - 101
Oct 16, 2025
MIN @ CHI
120 - 126
Feb 5, 2025
CHI @ MIN
108 - 127
Nov 7, 2024
MIN @ CHI
135 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.9% more
Chicago: 31.5
vs
Minnesota: 27.2
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
Chicago: 48.8
vs
Minnesota: 42.5
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Chicago: 14.0
vs
Minnesota: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Chicago: 75.3%
vs
Minnesota: 72.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
109.0
136
CHI Score
118.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 34.5
34.0 / 41.0
Assists
31.5 / 27.2
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.8
7.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.2
41.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 72.5
86.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
48.8 / 42.5
42.0 / 46.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.4
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.2
17.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIN
CHI
MIN
ML
56%
54-42
54%
63-53
57%
46-35
54%
50-43
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
67-49
57%
46-35
54%
50-43
TTL
58%
56-40
63%
72-43-1
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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