Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Miners @ Bulldogs UTEP @ LT

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

4-7  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

7-4  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
MINERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UTEP)
MinersUTEP (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miners Cover

91.9%

Bulldogs Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTEP -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)

UTEP By 1-7 points

16.9%

UTEP By 8-14 points

26.2%

LT By 1-7 points

5.8%

LT By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UTEP
56
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
71
UTEP
76
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Miners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Miners (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u130.5 Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 LT @ UTEP 69 - 59
Dec 29, 2025 UTEP @ LT 63 - 75
Mar 8, 2025 UTEP @ LT 58 - 76
Jan 2, 2025 LT @ UTEP 60 - 70
Feb 22, 2024 LT @ UTEP 65 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +12.1% more
UTEP: 9.2 vs Louisiana Tech: 8.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
UTEP: 33.4% vs Louisiana Tech: 31.2%
Rebounding (L5) +38.9% more
Louisiana Tech: 45.5 vs UTEP: 32.7
Assists (L5) +25.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 15.1 vs UTEP: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score 70.0 63
LT Score 56.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 33.4 46.0 / 27.0
Assists 15.1 / 12.0 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 44.8 42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 63.0 59.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 45.5 / 32.7 34.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.1 / 9.2 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 13.3 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
UTEP
LT
UTEP
ML
58% 19-14
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
72% 21-8
ATS
61% 20-13
57% 17-13
72% 23-9
73% 22-8
TTL
61% 20-13
60% 18-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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