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IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

4-10  |  Road

86
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

4-10  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
VIKINGS
100%
JAGUARS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

78.8%

Vikings Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

IUIN By 1-7 points

25.3%

IUIN By 8-14 points

26.2%

CLE By 1-7 points

13.7%

CLE By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
81
IU INDIANAPOLIS
73
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
75
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u172.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u172.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 IUIN @ CLE 93 - 101
Feb 7, 2026 CLE @ IUIN 74 - 82
Dec 29, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 86 - 99
Jan 19, 2025 CLE @ IUIN 73 - 62
Jan 4, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +66.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 10.0 vs Cleveland State: 3.3
Assists (L5) +33.9% more
IU Indianapolis: 22.2 vs Cleveland State: 14.7
Blocks (L5) +14.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 4.0 vs Cleveland State: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Cleveland State: 40.3% vs IU Indianapolis: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 81.0 86
CLE Score 73.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 31.0 30.0 / 19.0
Assists 14.7 / 22.2 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.0 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 44.8 54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 69.7 86.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 32.1 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 3.3 / 10.0 5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.5 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
CLE Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
IUIN
CLE
IUIN
ML
52% 17-16
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
78% 25-7
ATS
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
78% 25-7
TTL
52% 17-16
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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