Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Tigers QUC @ AUB

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

5-7  |  Road

65
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

8-4  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
ROYALS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Auburn)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

0.0%

Tigers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

QUC By 1-7 points

0.0%

QUC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AUB By 1-7 points

0.0%

AUB By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
64
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
114
AUBURN
Simulated Score
62
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
88
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o171.5 Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u171.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 QUC @ AUB 65 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.6% more
Auburn: 3.3 vs Queens University: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5) +3.5%
Auburn: 75.2% vs Queens University: 71.7%
Assists (L5) +23.3% more
Queens University: 16.7 vs Auburn: 12.8
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Queens University: 46.8% vs Auburn: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 64.0 65
AUB Score 114.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 32.8 54.0 / 13.0
Assists 12.8 / 16.7 24.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.5 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 46.8 56.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 71.7 70.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 31.6 40.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.9 13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 12.3 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC Advantage
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
QUC
AUB
QUC
ML
58% 22-16
71% 25-10
75% 24-8
71% 24-10
ATS
74% 28-10
86% 30-5
75% 24-8
71% 24-10
TTL
53% 20-18
47% 16-18-1
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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