Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sharks @ Bulldogs LIU @ UGA

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

6-6  |  Road

74
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Stegeman Coliseum
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

11-1  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
SHARKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Georgia)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

0.0%

Bulldogs Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

LIU By 1-7 points

0.0%

LIU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UGA By 1-7 points

0.4%

UGA By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
53
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
87
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
60
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
85
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-30.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u179.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u179.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 LIU @ UGA 74 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +30.6% more
Georgia: 45.8 vs Long Island University: 35.1
Blocks (L5) +19.9% more
Georgia: 6.2 vs Long Island University: 5.1
Assists (L5) +13.7% more
Georgia: 17.1 vs Long Island University: 15.0
Steals (L5) +8.1% more
Georgia: 10.4 vs Long Island University: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 53.0 74
UGA Score 87.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 37.2 37.0 / 23.0
Assists 17.1 / 15.0 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 6.2 / 5.1 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 47.3 46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 68.2 72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 35.1 40.0 / 38.0
Steals 10.4 / 9.6 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 14.6 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
UGA Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
UGA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
LIU
UGA
LIU
ML
67% 22-11
60% 21-14
56% 18-14
69% 24-11
ATS
61% 20-13
63% 22-13
56% 18-14
69% 24-11
TTL
64% 21-12
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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