EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
19-14-6 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
15-17-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.05 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.05
--
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
JETS
100%
OILERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
EDM @ WPG
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 1
Dec 6, 2025
WPG @ EDM
2 - 6
Sep 26, 2025
WPG @ EDM
0 - 4
Sep 23, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+36.6%
Edmonton: 49.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 12.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.1% more
Edmonton: 18.2
vs
Winnipeg: 13.8
Takeaways (L5)
+18.8% more
Edmonton: 4.8
vs
Winnipeg: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.0% more
Edmonton: 29.3
vs
Winnipeg: 26.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
3
WPG Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 18.2
8.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 47.8
40.0 / 60.0
Hits
21.2 / 16.6
32.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
12.5 / 49.1
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 29.3
42.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.8
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
EDM
WPG
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
