UTAH
JAZZUTAH
11-19 | Road
127
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
23-7 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
SPURS
0%
JAZZ
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
UTAH By 1-7 points
18.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
8.0%
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
110
UTAH
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Utah
108
UTAH
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+14)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
SA @ UTAH
126 - 109
Jan 19, 2026
UTAH @ SA
110 - 123
Dec 27, 2025
UTAH @ SA
127 - 114
Oct 10, 2025
UTAH @ SA
130 - 134
Nov 26, 2024
SA @ UTAH
128 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
San Antonio: 47.9
vs
Utah: 43.9
Blocks (L5)
+8.1% more
San Antonio: 4.3
vs
Utah: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
San Antonio: 51.1%
vs
Utah: 46.4%
Steals (L5)
+30.2% more
Utah: 8.6
vs
San Antonio: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
110.0
127
SA Score
115.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 40.2
23.0 / 46.0
Assists
26.4 / 32.0
30.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.0
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 46.4
43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 86.7
86.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
47.9 / 43.9
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.6
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 14.8
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
UTAH
SA
UTAH
ML
60%
111-73
60%
96-63
58%
61-44
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
107-76-1
68%
108-51
58%
61-44
48%
40-43
TTL
74%
134-47-3
75%
119-39-1
100%
105-0
100%
83-0
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