AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING KOALAS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
FIGHTING KOALAS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
GEORGIA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Georgia State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GAST -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GAST)
CCSC By 1-7 points
0.0%
CCSC By 8-14 points
0.0%
GAST By 1-7 points
0.0%
GAST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia College (SC)
35
COLUMBIA COLLEGE (SC)
Georgia State
83
GEORGIA STATE
Simulated Score
Columbia College (SC)
58
COLUMBIA COLLEGE (SC)
Georgia State
92
GEORGIA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
CCSC @ GAST
72 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+35.3% more
Georgia State: 36.5
vs
Columbia College (SC): 27.0
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
Georgia State: 10.8
vs
Columbia College (SC): 9.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
Georgia State: 75.3%
vs
Columbia College (SC): 66.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Georgia State: 39.9%
vs
Columbia College (SC): 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSC Score
35.0
72
GAST Score
83.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 30.0
44.0 / 57.0
Assists
10.8 / 9.7
20.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.9 / 35.0
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 66.7
81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 27.0
42.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.7
14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 15.7
5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSC
--
GAST
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSC
--
GAST
Advantage
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSC
--
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GAST
CCSC
GAST
CCSC
ML
56%
18-14
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
ATS
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0