Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Ragin' Cajuns NORF @ UL

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

6-9  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 3:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

2-11  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
SPARTANS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Norfolk State)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

99.9%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NORF -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

NORF By 1-7 points

0.6%

NORF By 8-14 points

3.3%

UL By 1-7 points

0.1%

UL By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
79
NORFOLK STATE
47
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
67
NORFOLK STATE
73
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o125.5 Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u125.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 NORF @ UL 54 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Norfolk State: 14.1 vs Louisiana: 10.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Norfolk State: 39.7% vs Louisiana: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Norfolk State: 44.7% vs Louisiana: 40.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.8%
Norfolk State: 68.5% vs Louisiana: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 79.0 54
UL Score 47.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 39.7 37.0 / 39.0
Assists 11.7 / 12.3 15.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.2 / 1.7 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 44.7 41.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 68.5 73.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 32.1 34.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.1 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 14.1 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
NORF
UL
NORF
ML
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
71% 20-8
ATS
66% 21-11
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
72% 21-8
TTL
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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