Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Flames @ Panthers LIB @ FIU

LIBERTY

FLAMESLIB

8-3  |  Road

97
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

7-4  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
FLAMES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesLIB (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

46.0%

Panthers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FIU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

LIB By 1-7 points

26.2%

LIB By 8-14 points

16.9%

FIU By 1-7 points

24.3%

FIU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
LIBERTY
73
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
65
LIBERTY
78
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 FIU @ LIB 89 - 90
Dec 28, 2025 LIB @ FIU 97 - 94
Feb 22, 2025 FIU @ LIB 45 - 58
Jan 25, 2025 LIB @ FIU 82 - 59
Feb 22, 2024 LIB @ FIU 71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +63.1% more
Florida International: 14.2 vs Liberty: 8.7
Steals (L5) +59.4% more
Florida International: 11.7 vs Liberty: 7.4
Blocks (L5) +50.8% more
Florida International: 5.8 vs Liberty: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +35.7% more
Florida International: 40.7 vs Liberty: 30.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIB Score 74.0 97
FIU Score 73.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 40.0 35.0 / 38.0
Assists 22.2 / 17.4 12.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 50.6 49.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 51.9 70.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 40.7 / 30.0 45.0 / 31.0
Steals 11.7 / 7.4 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 8.7 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIB Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIB
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +4.2
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
LIB
FIU
LIB
ML
58% 18-13
50% 17-17
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
ATS
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
TTL
65% 20-11
41% 14-20
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 6 hours ago
Fiske Named League Male Scholar-Athlete of the Year
hudsonvalleypress 2 months, 1 week ago
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…
triblive 2 months, 1 week ago
Tyrese Haliburton missed last season as he recovered from a torn…
si 2 months, 2 weeks ago
Aug 30, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Tigers kicker Gia…
si 2 months, 2 weeks ago