Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Eagles LEM @ BC

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

5-7  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

6-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
DOLPHINS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Boston College)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

13.6%

Eagles Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

LEM By 1-7 points

9.3%

LEM By 8-14 points

2.7%

BC By 1-7 points

21.6%

BC By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
75
LE MOYNE
86
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
60
LE MOYNE
78
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 LEM @ BC 64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +21.3% more
Boston College: 38.3 vs Le Moyne: 31.5
Steals (L5) +42.8% more
Le Moyne: 6.8 vs Boston College: 3.9
Assists (L5) +29.5% more
Le Moyne: 14.6 vs Boston College: 10.3
Turnovers (L5) +17.4% more
Le Moyne: 11.9 vs Boston College: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 75.0 64
BC Score 86.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.6 / 35.8 39.0 / 28.0
Assists 10.3 / 14.6 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.0 / 5.1 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 44.2 40.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 76.1 65.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 31.5 41.0 / 43.0
Steals 3.9 / 6.8 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 11.9 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
6%MONEY94%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
LEM
BC
LEM
ML
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
61% 17-11
68% 21-10
ATS
73% 22-8-1
65% 20-11
61% 17-11
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 19-12
42% 13-18
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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