Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Red Raiders WIN @ TTU

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

8-6  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 2:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

9-3  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
RED RAIDERS
0%
EAGLES --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Texas Tech)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

2.3%

Red Raiders Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

WIN By 1-7 points

1.7%

WIN By 8-14 points

0.3%

TTU By 1-7 points

8.0%

TTU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
46
WINTHROP
66
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
65
WINTHROP
78
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders (-18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 WIN @ TTU 57 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Texas Tech: 52.6% vs Winthrop: 50.1%
Blocks (L5) +28.2% more
Winthrop: 4.4 vs Texas Tech: 3.2
Assists (L5) +26.5% more
Winthrop: 17.9 vs Texas Tech: 13.2
Turnovers (L5) +25.0% more
Winthrop: 11.8 vs Texas Tech: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 46.0 57
TTU Score 66.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 39.2 38.0 / 16.0
Assists 13.2 / 17.9 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.4 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 52.6 / 50.1 50.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 63.5 / 74.6 88.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 42.9 38.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.1 / 7.4 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 11.8 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
WIN
TTU
WIN
ML
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
71% 22-9
79% 26-7
ATS
65% 22-12
79% 26-7
71% 22-9
79% 26-7
TTL
59% 20-14
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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