MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
12-19 | Road
112
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
15-15 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
23.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
104
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
107
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.3% more
Milwaukee: 18.2
vs
Chicago: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+25.0% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
Chicago: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
Milwaukee: 76.9%
vs
Chicago: 75.4%
Assists (L5)
+52.7% more
Chicago: 33.3
vs
Milwaukee: 21.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
109.0
112
CHI Score
104.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 34.6
34.0 / 36.0
Assists
33.3 / 21.8
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.4
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 45.3
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 76.9
75.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
47.1 / 45.5
52.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.4
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 18.2
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIL
CHI
MIL
ML
56%
54-42
64%
61-35
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
65-31
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
53-43
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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