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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

27-2-7  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Dec 27 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

17-8-10  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Carter Hart
GOALTENDER

Carter Hart

#79 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 4.68 0.800 --
Carter Hart None-None 4.62 0.872 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.68 GAA Ldr 4.62
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.872
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
AVALANCHE --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

30.9%

Golden Knights Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

COL By 1 goal

19.7%

COL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

VGK By 1 goal

12.1%

VGK By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
COLORADO
2
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 26, 2026 COL @ VGK 1 - 2
May 24, 2026 COL @ VGK 3 - 5
May 22, 2026 VGK @ COL 3 - 1
May 20, 2026 VGK @ COL 4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026 VGK @ COL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.8% more
Colorado: 35.6 vs Vegas: 28.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.6% more
Colorado: 14.8 vs Vegas: 13.3
Faceoff % (L5) +2.3%
Colorado: 51.3% vs Vegas: 48.9%
Hits (L5) +17.1% more
Vegas: 20.9 vs Colorado: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.0 6
VGK Score 2.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
45%MONEY55%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
COL
VGK
COL
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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