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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

19-13-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Dec 27 • 10:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

15-18-4  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Alec Regula
GOALTENDER

Alec Regula

#75 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alec Regula None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 2.00 0.935 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.935
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
OILERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
EDMONTON
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 EDM @ CGY 3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025 EDM @ CGY 2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025 CGY @ EDM 1 - 5
Oct 8, 2025 CGY @ EDM 4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 CGY @ EDM 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +28.2% more
Calgary: 4.8 vs Edmonton: 3.8
Hits (L5) +13.8% more
Calgary: 20.9 vs Edmonton: 18.4
Faceoff % (L5) +6.0%
Calgary: 53.8% vs Edmonton: 47.8%
Power Play % (L5) +43.1%
Edmonton: 49.1% vs Calgary: 6.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.0 2
CGY Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
EDM
CGY
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 1 hour ago
Canucks Aim to Stun Oilers Again in Home Opener After Overtime T…
yardbarker 1 week ago