Home / NFL Projections NFL / Ravens @ Packers BAL @ GB

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

7-8  |  Road

41
FINAL
Sat, Dec 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

9-5-1  |  Home

24
Key Game
Tyler Loop
KEY GAME

Tyler Loop

#33 | Place kicker
@
Carrington Valentine
KEY GAME

Carrington Valentine

#24 | Cornerback
Player
Tyler Loop None-None
Carrington Valentine None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
100%
📊
PACKERS
0%
RAVENS --
PACKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Green Bay)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 PackersGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

23.8%

Packers Cover

76.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

BAL By 1-6 points

10.7%

BAL By 7-13 points

7.3%

GB By 1-6 points

15.3%

GB By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
10
BALTIMORE
20
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
24
BALTIMORE
27
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Packers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Packers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Packers (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Packers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u38.5 Loss
Proj Total: 30.0
D
Sim u38.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 27, 2025 BAL @ GB 41 - 24
Dec 19, 2021 GB @ BAL 31 - 30
Nov 19, 2017 BAL @ GB 23 - 0
Oct 13, 2013 GB @ BAL 19 - 17
Dec 7, 2009 BAL @ GB 14 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +19.0% more
Green Bay: 0.5 vs Baltimore: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +16.9% more
Green Bay: 221.2 vs Baltimore: 189.3
Turnovers (L5) +43.3% more
Baltimore: 1.9 vs Green Bay: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.0% more
Baltimore: 162.0 vs Green Bay: 119.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 10.0 41
GB Score 20.0 24
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
BAL
GB
BAL
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3-1
33% 1-2-1
33% 1-2-1
100% 3-0-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CeeDee Lamb Nears Historic Cowboys Milestone in Thursday Night C…
newsweek 8 hours, 5 minutes ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 8 hours, 7 minutes ago
Week 5 Fantasy Football: Tight End Start/Sit — Ferguson, Gesicki…
usatoday 14 hours, 26 minutes ago
Buccaneers Safety Antoine Winfield Sidelined, Adding to Tampa Ba…
yardbarker 20 hours, 31 minutes ago
Rams Poised for Winning Streak After Bills Clash, Schedule Offer…
yahoo 20 hours, 45 minutes ago