Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Raiders NYG @ LV

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-13  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 4:05 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
View Odds Details →

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

2-13  |  Home

10
Key Game
Jevon Holland
KEY GAME

Jevon Holland

#8 | Safety
@
AJ Cole
KEY GAME

AJ Cole

#6 | Punter
Player
Jevon Holland None-None
AJ Cole None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
GIANTS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (New York)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 RaidersLV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

69.1%

Raiders Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NYG -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

NYG By 1-6 points

16.5%

NYG By 7-13 points

19.3%

LV By 1-6 points

12.9%

LV By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
27
NEW YORK
20
LAS VEGAS
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
24
LAS VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o40.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u40.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 NYG @ LV 34 - 10
Nov 5, 2023 NYG @ LV 6 - 30
Nov 7, 2021 LV @ NYG 16 - 23
Dec 3, 2017 NYG @ LV 17 - 24
Nov 10, 2013 LV @ NYG 20 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +63.0% more
New York: 124.2 vs Las Vegas: 46.0
Total Yards (L5) +36.6% more
New York: 347.8 vs Las Vegas: 220.5
Turnovers (L5) +33.6% more
New York: 1.1 vs Las Vegas: 0.7
Yards Per Play (L5) +22.8% more
New York: 5.4 vs Las Vegas: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 27.0 34
LV Score 20.0 10
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
LV
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LV
NYG
LV
NYG
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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