BELLARMINE
KNIGHTSBELL
5-6 | Road
85
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
8-4 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)
BELL By 1-7 points
24.3%
BELL By 8-14 points
13.7%
UK By 1-7 points
26.2%
UK By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bellarmine
61
BELLARMINE
Kentucky
62
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Bellarmine
65
BELLARMINE
Kentucky
92
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+34.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
BELL @ UK
85 - 99
Nov 29, 2022
BELL @ UK
41 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+307.3% more
Kentucky: 5.1
vs
Bellarmine: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+28.3% more
Kentucky: 8.4
vs
Bellarmine: 6.6
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Kentucky: 37.0
vs
Bellarmine: 32.1
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Bellarmine: 12.7
vs
Kentucky: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BELL Score
61.0
85
UK Score
62.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 37.4
53.0 / 37.0
Assists
15.1 / 16.3
24.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.1 / 1.2
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 50.9
59.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 86.5
71.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 32.1
29.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.6
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 12.7
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
UK
Advantage
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
UK
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
BELL
UK
BELL
ML
71%
25-10
72%
23-9
72%
23-9
94%
29-2
ATS
83%
29-6
72%
23-9
72%
23-9
94%
29-2
TTL
63%
22-13
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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