Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Buckeyes GRAM @ OSU

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

5-6  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Value City Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

8-3  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
BUCKEYES
0%
TIGERS --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ohio State)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

38.2%

Buckeyes Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OSU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

GRAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

GRAM By 8-14 points

10.7%

OSU By 1-7 points

27.2%

OSU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
63
GRAMBLING
66
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
58
GRAMBLING
85
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 GRAM @ OSU 63 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +23.2% more
Ohio State: 37.3 vs Grambling: 30.3
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Ohio State: 79.4% vs Grambling: 73.2%
Steals (L5) +38.3% more
Grambling: 8.1 vs Ohio State: 5.0
Turnovers (L5) +37.4% more
Grambling: 14.1 vs Ohio State: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 63.0 63
OSU Score 66.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.4 / 35.2 33.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.8 / 16.6 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.2 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 48.0 62.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 73.2 84.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 30.3 31.0 / 23.0
Steals 5.0 / 8.1 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 14.1 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
OSU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
GRAM
OSU
GRAM
ML
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
73% 24-9
68% 17-8
ATS
59% 20-14
61% 19-12
73% 24-9
68% 17-8
TTL
56% 19-15
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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