SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
17-16-3 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
16-8-10 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 4.00 | 0.700 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 2.00 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.700
Save %
Ldr 0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.4%
Vegas: 33.8%
vs
San Jose: 7.4%
Hits (L5)
+9.3% more
Vegas: 24.9
vs
San Jose: 22.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Vegas: 49.7%
vs
San Jose: 45.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
San Jose: 5.3
vs
Vegas: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
2
VGK Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 16.3
9.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
49.7 / 45.8
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
24.9 / 22.8
13.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
33.8 / 7.4
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 30.0
26.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.3
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
SJ
VGK
SJ
ML
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
