UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
18-17-3 | Road
0
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
26-2-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mikhail Sergachev
#98 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
MAMMOTH
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
UTA By 1 goal
6.6%
UTA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
COL By 1 goal
17.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
COL @ UTA
4 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
UTA @ COL
0 - 1
Oct 21, 2025
COL @ UTA
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
UTA @ COL
1 - 2
Dec 27, 2024
COL @ UTA
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+59.6% more
Colorado: 40.5
vs
Utah: 25.3
Takeaways (L5)
+34.8% more
Colorado: 4.9
vs
Utah: 3.6
Power Play % (L5)
+19.5%
Colorado: 29.8%
vs
Utah: 10.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.8%
Colorado: 54.5%
vs
Utah: 48.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.0
0
COL Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 13.7
21.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
54.5 / 48.7
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
16.8 / 18.2
20.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
2979.0 / 1034.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
40.5 / 25.3
26.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 3.6
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
UTA
COL
UTA
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
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