AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
COUGARS
0%
EAGLES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
EWU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EWU By 8-14 points
0.0%
BYU By 1-7 points
0.2%
BYU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
66
EASTERN WASHINGTON
BYU
102
BYU
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
67
EASTERN WASHINGTON
BYU
81
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-34.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.5
Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
EWU @ BYU
81 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+170.0% more
BYU: 6.4
vs
Eastern Washington: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+77.7% more
BYU: 11.2
vs
Eastern Washington: 6.3
Assists (L5)
+34.4% more
BYU: 16.2
vs
Eastern Washington: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
BYU: 37.5
vs
Eastern Washington: 31.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
66.0
81
BYU Score
102.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 33.3
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
16.2 / 12.1
23.0 / 18.0
Blocks
6.4 / 2.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.2 / 43.3
54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 69.3
85.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 31.3
42.0 / 31.0
Steals
11.2 / 6.3
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.8
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
EWU
BYU
EWU
ML
60%
21-14
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
ATS
54%
19-16
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
TTL
69%
24-11
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0