FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
3-8 | Road
61
BOSTON COLLEGE
EAGLESBC
5-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
EAGLES
0%
KNIGHTS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Boston College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)
FDU By 1-7 points
6.8%
FDU By 8-14 points
1.7%
BC By 1-7 points
18.6%
BC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
46
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Boston College
59
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
61
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Boston College
82
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
FDU @ BC
61 - 72
Dec 28, 2024
FDU @ BC
70 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+81.5% more
Boston College: 5.5
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Boston College: 74.7%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 70.0%
Assists (L5)
+31.4% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 15.2
vs
Boston College: 10.4
Turnovers (L5)
+13.5% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.9
vs
Boston College: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
46.0
61
BC Score
59.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.0 / 32.0
33.0 / 28.0
Assists
10.4 / 15.2
10.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 42.7
44.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 70.0
56.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 35.3
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.1
2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.9
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BC
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BC
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
FDU
BC
FDU
ML
61%
19-12
65%
20-11
61%
17-11
74%
23-8
ATS
73%
22-8-1
68%
21-10
61%
17-11
74%
23-8
TTL
61%
19-12
58%
18-13
100%
28-0
100%
31-0
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