DENVER
PIONEERSDEN
7-7 | Road
85
TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
11-1 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
PIONEERS
--
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Tulsa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TLSA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
DEN By 1-7 points
6.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
1.7%
TLSA By 1-7 points
18.6%
TLSA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
84
DENVER
Tulsa
97
TULSA
Simulated Score
Denver
68
DENVER
Tulsa
76
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
DEN @ TLSA
85 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.3% more
Tulsa: 7.8
vs
Denver: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+30.6% more
Tulsa: 16.5
vs
Denver: 12.6
Blocks (L5)
+36.5% more
Denver: 3.1
vs
Tulsa: 2.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
Denver: 49.0%
vs
Tulsa: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
84.0
85
TLSA Score
97.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 49.0
29.0 / 26.0
Assists
16.5 / 12.6
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 55.3
45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 79.2
75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 35.2
41.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.8 / 5.8
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 9.6
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
TLSA
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
DEN
TLSA
DEN
ML
66%
25-13
56%
18-14
64%
23-13
59%
19-13
ATS
74%
28-10
66%
21-11
64%
23-13
59%
19-13
TTL
58%
22-16
59%
19-13
100%
36-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…