DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
8-3 | Road
61
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
9-3 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
JAYHAWKS
0%
WILDCATS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
114.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
DAV By 1-7 points
13.7%
DAV By 8-14 points
4.8%
KU By 1-7 points
25.3%
KU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Davidson
53
DAVIDSON
Kansas
61
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Davidson
68
DAVIDSON
Kansas
82
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 114.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
DAV @ KU
61 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+177.3% more
Kansas: 6.5
vs
Davidson: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
Kansas: 41.8
vs
Davidson: 37.4
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Kansas: 14.9
vs
Davidson: 13.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.5%
Kansas: 68.4%
vs
Davidson: 63.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAV Score
53.0
61
KU Score
61.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 34.8
52.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.6
27.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.5 / 2.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 46.6
58.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.4 / 63.9
100.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 37.4
42.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.4
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 8.8
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
DAV
KU
DAV
ML
57%
20-15
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
58%
19-14
ATS
49%
17-18
48%
16-17
68%
21-10
58%
19-14
TTL
60%
21-14
52%
17-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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