ABILENE CHRISTIAN
WILDCATSACU
7-5 | Road
75
TEXAS SOUTHERN
TIGERSTXSO
1-8 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
TIGERS
100%
WILDCATS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Abilene Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ACU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)
ACU By 1-7 points
0.6%
ACU By 8-14 points
3.3%
TXSO By 1-7 points
0.1%
TXSO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Abilene Christian
114
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Texas Southern
82
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Abilene Christian
68
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Texas Southern
72
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 196.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
ACU @ TXSO
75 - 68
Dec 21, 2024
TXSO @ ACU
65 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.7% more
Abilene Christian: 9.7
vs
Texas Southern: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
Abilene Christian: 13.2
vs
Texas Southern: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Abilene Christian: 35.2%
vs
Texas Southern: 25.6%
Blocks (L5)
+89.7% more
Texas Southern: 3.3
vs
Abilene Christian: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ACU Score
114.0
75
TXSO Score
82.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.6 / 35.2
27.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.2
6.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.8
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 42.0
52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 77.1
68.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 28.8
24.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.0 / 9.7
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 14.8
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
TXSO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU
Advantage
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
TXSO
9-19-0
(32.1%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
ACU
TXSO
ACU
ML
64%
18-10
67%
22-11
71%
17-7
70%
23-10
ATS
61%
17-11
55%
18-15
71%
17-7
70%
23-10
TTL
71%
20-8
58%
19-14
100%
24-0
100%
33-0
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