WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
6-5 | Road
74
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
10-1 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
WOLVES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
WGA By 1-7 points
0.2%
WGA By 8-14 points
0.0%
UGA By 1-7 points
1.7%
UGA By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
West Georgia
80
WEST GEORGIA
Georgia
108
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
West Georgia
61
WEST GEORGIA
Georgia
88
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+35.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o170.5
Win
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
WGA @ UGA
74 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.7% more
Georgia: 17.1
vs
West Georgia: 12.8
Blocks (L5)
+31.2% more
Georgia: 6.2
vs
West Georgia: 4.7
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
Georgia: 9.1
vs
West Georgia: 7.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
Georgia: 53.7%
vs
West Georgia: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WGA Score
80.0
74
UGA Score
108.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 35.0
31.0 / 43.0
Assists
17.1 / 12.8
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.7
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
53.7 / 42.4
46.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 74.3
67.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 37.7
55.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.1
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 13.1
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
WGA
UGA
WGA
ML
67%
22-11
58%
18-13
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
ATS
61%
20-13
71%
22-9
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
TTL
64%
21-12
55%
17-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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