Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Tigers SHU @ TOW

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

5-7  |  Road

47
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 2:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

7-5  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
PIONEERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Towson)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

30.9%

Tigers Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

SHU By 1-7 points

18.6%

SHU By 8-14 points

8.0%

TOW By 1-7 points

27.2%

TOW By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
72
SACRED HEART
77
TOWSON
Simulated Score
68
SACRED HEART
73
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 SHU @ TOW 47 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +11.1% more
Towson: 44.2 vs Sacred Heart: 39.8
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Towson: 45.4% vs Sacred Heart: 43.7%
Steals (L5) +26.3% more
Sacred Heart: 8.2 vs Towson: 6.0
Assists (L5) +22.3% more
Sacred Heart: 15.4 vs Towson: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 72.0 47
TOW Score 77.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 33.7 29.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.0 / 15.4 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.8 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 43.7 45.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 69.7 / 75.3 58.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 44.2 / 39.8 41.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.2 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.4 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
SHU
TOW
SHU
ML
66% 21-11
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
73% 24-9
ATS
66% 21-11
76% 25-8
62% 20-12
73% 24-9
TTL
53% 17-15
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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