SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
10-2 | Road
71
UTSA
ROADRUNNERSUTSA
4-7 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
0.4%
SEA By 8-14 points
2.2%
UTSA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTSA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
102
SEATTLE U
UTSA
68
UTSA
Simulated Score
Seattle U
68
SEATTLE U
UTSA
72
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
SEA @ UTSA
71 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.5% more
Seattle U: 6.7
vs
UTSA: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+21.8% more
Seattle U: 14.9
vs
UTSA: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+19.7% more
Seattle U: 9.0
vs
UTSA: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.5%
Seattle U: 46.5%
vs
UTSA: 36.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
102.0
71
UTSA Score
68.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 29.6
30.0 / 20.0
Assists
11.7 / 14.9
16.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.7
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
36.1 / 46.5
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 75.7
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 38.7
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.2 / 9.0
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 13.0
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
SEA
UTSA
SEA
ML
83%
24-5
46%
16-19
48%
14-15
71%
24-10
ATS
72%
21-8
57%
20-15
50%
15-15
71%
24-10
TTL
66%
19-10
49%
17-18
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
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