SIENA
SAINTSSIE
9-3 | Road
60
INDIANA
HOOSIERSIU
9-3 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
HOOSIERS
0%
SAINTS
--
HOOSIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)
SIE By 1-7 points
0.1%
SIE By 8-14 points
0.0%
IU By 1-7 points
0.6%
IU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Siena
55
SIENA
Indiana
87
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Siena
63
SIENA
Indiana
81
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoosiers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers (-22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Hoosiers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
SIE @ IU
60 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.1% more
Indiana: 19.2
vs
Siena: 13.6
Turnovers (L5)
+36.3% more
Indiana: 12.9
vs
Siena: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+12.7% more
Indiana: 5.4
vs
Siena: 4.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Indiana: 32.7%
vs
Siena: 30.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIE Score
55.0
60
IU Score
87.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 30.2
38.0 / 15.0
Assists
19.2 / 13.6
11.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 44.4
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 72.6
87.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 36.0
41.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.4 / 4.8
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 9.5
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
IU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
IU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
SIE
IU
SIE
ML
66%
21-11
66%
23-12
71%
22-9
48%
16-17
ATS
53%
17-15
66%
23-12
71%
22-9
48%
16-17
TTL
56%
18-14
54%
19-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
College Football Week 5: Northwestern's Rise, Big Ten Coaches Un…