SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
7-5 | Road
66
WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-8 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
LEATHERNECKS
0%
COUGARS
--
LEATHERNECKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Western Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)
SIUE By 1-7 points
20.1%
SIUE By 8-14 points
9.3%
WIU By 1-7 points
27.4%
WIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
SIU Edwardsville
69
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Western Illinois
73
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
SIU Edwardsville
69
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Western Illinois
72
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leathernecks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Leathernecks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
WIU @ SIUE
47 - 67
Dec 22, 2025
SIUE @ WIU
66 - 61
Feb 1, 2025
SIUE @ WIU
69 - 65
Jan 2, 2025
WIU @ SIUE
66 - 77
Mar 2, 2024
SIUE @ WIU
65 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.2% more
Western Illinois: 12.2
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 10.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Western Illinois: 38.7
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 34.8
Assists (L5)
+40.1% more
SIU Edwardsville: 17.0
vs
Western Illinois: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+26.7% more
SIU Edwardsville: 9.7
vs
Western Illinois: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score
69.0
66
WIU Score
73.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.9 / 35.8
31.0 / 40.0
Assists
10.2 / 17.0
8.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 44.8
42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 69.4
68.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 34.8
22.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.2
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIU
SIUE
WIU
SIUE
ML
45%
14-17
65%
20-11
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
ATS
52%
16-15
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
TTL
45%
14-17
48%
15-16
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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