Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Iowa @ Vanderbilt IOWA @ VAN

IOWA

IOWAIOWA

8-4  |  Road

34
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 12:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
View Odds Details →

VANDERBILT

VANDERBILTVAN

10-2  |  Home

27
Key Game
Will Hubert
KEY GAME

Will Hubert

#57 | Defensive Lineman
@
Kayleb Barnett
KEY GAME

Kayleb Barnett

#13 | Wide Receiver
Player
Will Hubert None-None
Kayleb Barnett None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
IOWA
100%
📊
VANDERBILT
0%
IOWA --
VANDERBILT --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Vanderbilt)
IowaIOWA (-3.5) 0 VanderbiltVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Iowa Cover

15.9%

Vanderbilt Cover

84.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VAN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

IOWA By 1-6 points

7.9%

IOWA By 7-13 points

4.7%

VAN By 1-6 points

12.9%

VAN By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
10
IOWA
24
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
24
IOWA
13
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Vanderbilt Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Iowa Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Vanderbilt (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Sim Iowa (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 34.0
B
Sim u46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 37.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 IOWA @ VAN 34 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +61.4% more
Vanderbilt: 522.8 vs Iowa: 324.0
First Downs (L5) +55.3% more
Vanderbilt: 26.1 vs Iowa: 16.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
Vanderbilt: 0.5 vs Iowa: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score 10.0 34
VAN Score 24.0 27
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +3.7
VAN
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +3.7
VAN
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -2.7
VAN
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
IOWA
VAN
IOWA
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
40% 2-3
TTL
100% 5-0
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
0% 0-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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