Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Coastal @ Louisiana Tech CCU @ LT

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

6-6  |  Road

14
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 2:00 PM ET
Independence Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

7-5  |  Home

23
Key Game
Dre Pinckney
KEY GAME

Dre Pinckney

#12 | Safety
@
Kaegan Kent
KEY GAME

Kaegan Kent

#38 | Place kicker
Player
Dre Pinckney None-None
Kaegan Kent None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COASTAL
100%
📊
LOUISIANA TECH
0%
COASTAL --
LOUISIANA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
CoastalCCU (-3.5) 0 Louisiana TechLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coastal Cover

0.6%

Louisiana Tech Cover

99.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LT -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

CCU By 1-6 points

0.4%

CCU By 7-13 points

0.1%

LT By 1-6 points

1.4%

LT By 7-13 points

4.1%

AI Model Projected Score
7
COASTAL CAROLINA
42
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
20
COASTAL CAROLINA
34
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Louisiana Tech Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Louisiana Tech Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Louisiana Tech (-10) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
B
Sim Louisiana Tech (-10) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u50.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
B
Sim o50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 54.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 CCU @ LT 14 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +145.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 273.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 111.6
First Downs (L5) +37.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 20.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 15.1
Total Yards (L5) +37.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 402.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 292.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +22.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 0.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 7.0 14
LT Score 42.0 23
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
CCU
LT
CCU
ML
100% 4-0
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
ATS
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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