MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
1-1 | Road
102
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
1-1 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
WARRIORS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
25.7%
MIN By 8-14 points
15.9%
GS By 1-7 points
25.0%
GS By 8-14 points
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
108.88
MINNESOTA
Golden State
108.53
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
107
MINNESOTA
Golden State
112
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
MIN @ GS
127 - 117
Jan 26, 2026
GS @ MIN
83 - 108
Jan 25, 2026
GS @ MIN
111 - 85
Dec 12, 2025
MIN @ GS
127 - 120
May 14, 2025
GS @ MIN
110 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.0% more
Minnesota: 4.8
vs
Golden State: 3.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Minnesota: 45.1%
vs
Golden State: 43.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+21.2% more
Golden State: 15.9
vs
Minnesota: 13.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Golden State: 35.1%
vs
Minnesota: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
108.9
102
GS Score
108.5
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 31.0
43.5 / 38.2
Assists
24.6 / 25.4
21.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.8
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 45.1
43.2 / 43.9
Free Throw %
75.3 / 74.8
81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 43.1
36.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.4
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 13.1
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
MIN
GS
MIN
ML
55%
95-79
54%
63-53
58%
49-35
54%
50-43
ATS
58%
101-73
58%
67-49
58%
49-35
54%
50-43
TTL
77%
134-40
63%
72-43-1
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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