MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
2-1 | Road
117
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
1-2 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
WARRIORS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
19.6%
GS By 1-7 points
22.1%
GS By 8-14 points
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
106.93
MINNESOTA
Golden State
104.28
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Golden State
108
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
MIN @ GS
127 - 117
Jan 26, 2026
GS @ MIN
83 - 108
Jan 25, 2026
GS @ MIN
111 - 85
Dec 12, 2025
MIN @ GS
127 - 120
May 14, 2025
GS @ MIN
110 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+13.3% more
Minnesota: 5.6
vs
Golden State: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
Minnesota: 26.2
vs
Golden State: 23.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Golden State: 37.9%
vs
Minnesota: 33.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
106.9
117
GS Score
104.3
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 33.4
29.6 / 47.1
Assists
23.4 / 26.2
18.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.8 / 5.6
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 44.7
43.5 / 49.4
Free Throw %
77.2 / 76.9
84.8 / 88.5
Rebounding
40.9 / 43.4
38.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.9
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 15.7
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
MIN
GS
MIN
ML
55%
95-79
54%
63-53
58%
49-35
54%
50-43
ATS
58%
101-73
58%
67-49
58%
49-35
54%
50-43
TTL
77%
134-40
63%
72-43-1
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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