SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
20-7 | Road
124
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
5-21 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
SPURS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
0.4%
SA By 8-14 points
2.2%
WSH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
122
SAN ANTONIO
Washington
88
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u237.0
Push
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u237.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
SA @ WSH
124 - 113
Dec 18, 2025
WSH @ SA
94 - 119
Feb 10, 2025
SA @ WSH
131 - 121
Nov 13, 2024
WSH @ SA
130 - 139
Jan 29, 2024
WSH @ SA
118 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
San Antonio: 8.0
vs
Washington: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+18.0% more
San Antonio: 5.2
vs
Washington: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
San Antonio: 75.1%
vs
Washington: 71.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
San Antonio: 48.6%
vs
Washington: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
122.0
124
WSH Score
88.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 36.6
24.0 / 32.0
Assists
27.8 / 28.2
20.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.2
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 48.6
44.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 75.1
75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
48.6 / 50.7
43.0 / 61.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.0
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.8
5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SA
WSH
SA
ML
70%
112-49
60%
111-73
47%
39-44
58%
61-44
ATS
69%
111-49-1
58%
107-76-1
47%
39-44
58%
61-44
TTL
74%
119-41-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
83-0
100%
105-0
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