VMI
KEYDETSVMI
5-7 | Road
90
RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
5-8 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
KEYDETS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Radford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
VMI By 1-7 points
24.3%
VMI By 8-14 points
13.7%
RAD By 1-7 points
26.2%
RAD By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
73
VMI
Radford
74
RADFORD
Simulated Score
VMI
68
VMI
Radford
75
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
VMI @ RAD
90 - 97
Dec 12, 2023
VMI @ RAD
56 - 73
Dec 10, 2022
RAD @ VMI
74 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+121.2% more
Radford: 4.9
vs
VMI: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+42.3% more
Radford: 13.3
vs
VMI: 9.4
Steals (L5)
+31.3% more
Radford: 10.5
vs
VMI: 8.0
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
Radford: 18.1
vs
VMI: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
73.0
90
RAD Score
74.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 32.8
44.0 / 46.0
Assists
18.1 / 15.2
15.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.1
55.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 68.8
80.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 39.3
31.0 / 24.0
Steals
10.5 / 8.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 9.4
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
VMI
RAD
VMI
ML
77%
23-7
53%
17-15
76%
22-7
84%
27-5
ATS
63%
19-11
50%
16-16
77%
23-7
84%
27-5
TTL
67%
20-10
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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