AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
HORNETS
0%
TIGERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-67.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +67.0 points (Delaware State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DSU -67.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)
HFU By 1-7 points
0.0%
HFU By 8-14 points
0.0%
DSU By 1-7 points
0.0%
DSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Family University
55
HOLY FAMILY UNIVERSITY
Delaware State
122
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
Holy Family University
62
HOLY FAMILY UNIVERSITY
Delaware State
88
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (-36.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -67.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
HFU @ DSU
61 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+187.7% more
Delaware State: 10.6
vs
Holy Family University: 3.7
Blocks (L5)
+39.0% more
Delaware State: 2.8
vs
Holy Family University: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
Delaware State: 11.4
vs
Holy Family University: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Delaware State: 40.7%
vs
Holy Family University: 38.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HFU Score
55.0
61
DSU Score
122.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 36.0
55.0 / 36.0
Assists
11.4 / 9.7
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 38.7
58.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 64.3
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 39.3
27.0 / 22.0
Steals
10.6 / 3.7
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 16.7
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HFU
--
DSU
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HFU
--
DSU
Advantage
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HFU
--
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
HFU
DSU
HFU
ML
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
75%
18-6
100%
1-0
ATS
60%
18-12
0%
0-1
72%
18-7
100%
1-0
TTL
57%
17-13
0%
0-1
100%
25-0
100%
1-0