PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
6-7 | Road
81
MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
4-8 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
0%
JASPERS
100%
BLUE HOSE
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Presbyterian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRES -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
PRES By 1-7 points
18.6%
PRES By 8-14 points
26.8%
MAN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MAN By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
74
PRESBYTERIAN
Manhattan
61
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
65
PRESBYTERIAN
Manhattan
68
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hose
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaspers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Hose (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
PRES @ MAN
81 - 87
Dec 21, 2024
MAN @ PRES
86 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.3% more
Presbyterian: 15.3
vs
Manhattan: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+17.4% more
Presbyterian: 3.3
vs
Manhattan: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Presbyterian: 35.3
vs
Manhattan: 31.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Presbyterian: 44.9%
vs
Manhattan: 39.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
74.0
81
MAN Score
61.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 25.9
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
12.0 / 11.1
20.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.3
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 44.9
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 65.8
70.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 35.3
32.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.9 / 6.9
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 15.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
PRES
MAN
PRES
ML
52%
16-15
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
80%
24-6
ATS
52%
16-15
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
80%
24-6
TTL
77%
24-7
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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