Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Big Red @ Great Danes COR @ UALB

CORNELL

BIG REDCOR

5-5  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Broadview Center
View Odds Details →

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

4-9  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
📊
GREAT DANES
100%
BIG RED --
GREAT DANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Cornell)
Big RedCOR (-3.5) 0 Great DanesUALB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Red Cover

100.0%

Great Danes Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)

COR By 1-7 points

0.1%

COR By 8-14 points

0.8%

UALB By 1-7 points

0.0%

UALB By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
CORNELL
55
UALBANY
Simulated Score
70
CORNELL
75
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Big Red Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Great Danes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Big Red (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Great Danes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 COR @ UALB 83 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.2% more
Cornell: 20.3 vs UAlbany: 15.4
Free Throw % (L5) +21.3%
Cornell: 73.8% vs UAlbany: 52.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Cornell: 39.0% vs UAlbany: 36.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Cornell: 49.6% vs UAlbany: 47.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COR Score 93.0 83
UALB Score 55.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 39.0 45.0 / 52.0
Assists 15.4 / 20.3 12.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.1 / 2.2 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 49.6 50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 52.5 / 73.8 71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 34.9 28.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.3 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 12.1 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
75%MONEY25%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
UALB
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR Advantage
11-15-0 (42.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +6.5
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
COR
UALB
COR
ML
55% 17-14
44% 12-15
71% 22-9
63% 17-10
ATS
77% 24-7
59% 16-11
72% 23-9
63% 17-10
TTL
61% 19-12
78% 21-6
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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