AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
BRAVES
0%
SALUKIS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
SIU By 1-7 points
15.3%
SIU By 8-14 points
5.8%
BRAD By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRAD By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Illinois
67
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Bradley
74
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
Southern Illinois
70
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Bradley
74
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
BRAD @ SIU
70 - 60
Dec 21, 2025
SIU @ BRAD
69 - 73
Feb 12, 2025
SIU @ BRAD
64 - 78
Dec 3, 2024
BRAD @ SIU
83 - 60
Feb 28, 2024
SIU @ BRAD
67 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.3% more
Bradley: 3.5
vs
Southern Illinois: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+19.4% more
Bradley: 10.7
vs
Southern Illinois: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Bradley: 41.6
vs
Southern Illinois: 38.4
Turnovers (L5)
+41.0% more
Southern Illinois: 15.8
vs
Bradley: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIU Score
67.0
69
BRAD Score
74.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 32.3
44.0 / 16.0
Assists
13.5 / 14.0
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.5 / 2.1
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 48.7
41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
67.0 / 66.4
90.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 38.4
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.7 / 9.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 15.8
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
SIU
BRAD
SIU
ML
65%
22-12
53%
17-15
68%
23-11
47%
15-17
ATS
59%
20-14
56%
18-14
68%
23-11
47%
15-17
TTL
68%
23-11
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0