SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

6-6  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

8-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
SALUKIS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Bradley)
SalukisSIU (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Salukis Cover

24.2%

Braves Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

SIU By 1-7 points

15.3%

SIU By 8-14 points

5.8%

BRAD By 1-7 points

26.2%

BRAD By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
74
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
70
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
74
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 BRAD @ SIU 70 - 60
Dec 21, 2025 SIU @ BRAD 69 - 73
Feb 12, 2025 SIU @ BRAD 64 - 78
Dec 3, 2024 BRAD @ SIU 83 - 60
Feb 28, 2024 SIU @ BRAD 67 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +65.3% more
Bradley: 3.5 vs Southern Illinois: 2.1
Steals (L5) +19.4% more
Bradley: 10.7 vs Southern Illinois: 9.0
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
Bradley: 41.6 vs Southern Illinois: 38.4
Turnovers (L5) +41.0% more
Southern Illinois: 15.8 vs Bradley: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIU Score 67.0 69
BRAD Score 74.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 32.3 44.0 / 16.0
Assists 13.5 / 14.0 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.1 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 48.7 41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 66.4 90.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 38.4 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 10.7 / 9.0 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 15.8 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6