Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Paladins CHSO @ FUR

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

8-5  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Timmons Arena
View Odds Details →

FURMAN

PALADINSFUR

8-4  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
📊
PALADINS
0%
BUCCANEERS --
PALADINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Furman)
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 PaladinsFUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

30.9%

Paladins Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FUR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)

CHSO By 1-7 points

18.6%

CHSO By 8-14 points

8.0%

FUR By 1-7 points

27.2%

FUR By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
78
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
83
FURMAN
Simulated Score
68
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
85
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Paladins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Paladins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Paladins (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Paladins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 CHSO @ FUR 76 - 84
Nov 23, 2024 FUR @ CHSO 67 - 46
Nov 12, 2019 FUR @ CHSO 91 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +61.1% more
Furman: 7.3 vs Charleston Southern: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +8.9% more
Furman: 13.7 vs Charleston Southern: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Furman: 52.7% vs Charleston Southern: 47.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +18.3%
Charleston Southern: 75.6% vs Furman: 57.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 78.0 76
FUR Score 83.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 40.8 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 19.6 / 20.1 17.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.1 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 52.7 / 47.9 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 57.3 / 75.6 77.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 46.0 42.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.3 / 4.6 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 12.6 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
FUR Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
FUR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
CHSO
FUR
CHSO
ML
71% 25-10
43% 13-17
62% 21-13
67% 20-10
ATS
63% 22-13
50% 15-15
62% 21-13
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 20-15
50% 15-15
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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