Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Wolverines LAS @ MICH

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

4-8  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 4:00 PM ET
Crisler Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

10-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
EXPLORERS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Michigan)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

1.8%

Wolverines Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

LAS By 1-7 points

1.4%

LAS By 8-14 points

0.2%

MICH By 1-7 points

6.8%

MICH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
LA SALLE
88
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
65
LA SALLE
82
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+39.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 LAS @ MICH 50 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +85.2% more
Michigan: 6.8 vs La Salle: 3.7
Assists (L5) +73.7% more
Michigan: 23.1 vs La Salle: 13.3
Steals (L5) +19.1% more
Michigan: 7.3 vs La Salle: 6.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Michigan: 44.9% vs La Salle: 32.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 67.0 50
MICH Score 88.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.9 / 32.9 48.0 / 10.0
Assists 23.1 / 13.3 25.0 / 8.0
Blocks 6.8 / 3.7 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 55.1 / 43.2 55.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 72.4 / 67.2 67.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 36.7 40.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.1 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.8 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
MICH Advantage
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
LAS
MICH
LAS
ML
78% 31-9
69% 22-10
63% 24-14
69% 22-10
ATS
78% 31-9
78% 25-7
63% 24-14
69% 22-10
TTL
57% 23-17
66% 21-11
100% 38-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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